Signed Steelers

Signed Steelers

BetUS

The oddsmakers in Vegas and at BetUS have the New England Patriots rising as front-runners for the Super Bowl. Naturally, this is all group on how good you suspect Tom Brady is going to be. After getting his knee obliterated in Week 1 of the 2008 season, Brady is back and is reportedly 100% ready to go.

That's what you hear from the scouting reports. You know who else probably looks great in practice? Chris Simms, JaMarcus Russell and my freaking ma ( she's got a canon for an arm ).

I'm not querying his talent at all, nor the coaching genius of Bill Belichik.

Palmer, who had a breakout year in 2005 had his knee dismantled in the playoffs by Kimo von Oelhoffen of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Since that time, Palmer's production has dropped lower and lower. He went from a 101.1 rating in 2005 followed by ratings of 93.9, 86.7 and 69.0. The last season was a rating from 4 games in 2008 since Carson also had a recurring elbow problem.

And while the numbers don't always lie, they don't tell the entire truth. Carson Palmer isn't the same player he was in 2005. Not even close. He used to be a brash, superhuman gun slinger, fearlessly soaring in the pocket and burning the skies with laser passing.

Win AFC : +350 (Conference favorite)

Win AFC East: -400 (Division favorite)

What makes Brady different? He's not even close to the athletic phenom that Carson Palmer is. Before his injury last year, he averaged 519 attempts a year. In perhaps the greatest year of any NFL quarterback, Brady shattered the touchdown record with 50 passing scores, 4,806 yards and a rating of 117.2. Randy Moss and Wes Welker will still be in Brady broke the only thing that is going to change is Brady's knee.

How will it effect his mental well-being? He hasn't stood in the pocket with an actual opposing defense ready to bear down on him yet. Do you realize how many times the Patriots' betting backers are going to vomit in their own mouths every time Brady is sacked? Is this a bad time to mention that the Patriots play the Bills, Jets, Falcons and Ravens in the first four weeks of the season? They also get the Titans in Week 6 and the Bucs in Week 7.

I don't know about you guys, but I'm not banking on a reconstructed knee to win the Superbowl. Not when Pittsburgh is coming off a galvanizing year, and with so many question marks about the Titans in what will be his greatest test to date. If you're willing to stomach the gut wrenching ride of Tom Brady 2.0, then be my guest. Just don't win the Superbowl. Not to win the Superbowl. Not when your NFL betting bank, and Tom Brady, are left in the trenches without a leg to stand on. Check out BetUS for the best sign up bonus in the industry!

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